The Separate Realities of a '50-50 Race'
As a reminder of the state of play four days before the election, boiling down two previous long posts (first and second):All publicly available polling information, especially swing-state polls,...
View ArticleNon-Politics Edition: Denzel Washington in 'Flight'
For a variety of "I can't stand this any more!" reasons, ranging from an article just exiting its zillionth round of fine tuning and headed toward the printer, to the zillionth analysis of who The Only...
View ArticleThe 'Pre-Delegitimization' Watch: It Begins
In previous items here, here, and here, I've mentioned the deeply conflicting versions of reality about how the vote will go three days from now:Most state polls and polling aggregators show Barack...
View ArticleAnd If the GOP Doesn't Win, What Then?
Nobody knows what's going to happen on Tuesday. (11 p.m. Saturday update: But watching a completely-losing-his-voice Bill Clinton do a barnburner in his intro for Barack Obama in Virginia, I'm seeing...
View ArticleToday's Ignoramus-Nation Moment: 'Best Revenge'
In the final two days of the campaign, the Romney-Ryan ticket and its supporters are all over President Obama for talking about "revenge." On Friday, when trying to shush supporters who were booing the...
View ArticleYour Sunday Ground-Game Reports: Missouri, Virginia, and DC
I'm not out doing on-the-ground campaign reporting myself; the Atlantic has had some great dispatches on that score from Molly Ball. But several readers report what they have seen. First, from a...
View ArticleWho Says We're a Divided Nation?
From a friend, this flyer left on doorknobs in Connecticut this weekend: Talking Points Memo More here and here. This does help you pencil in how all sides think the seven electoral votes in the Nutmeg...
View ArticleAsk Dr. Popkin: The 3 Myths of the Romney Campaign
Through this campaign year the political scientist Samuel Popkin, of UC San Diego, author of the recent book about presidential campaigns The Candidate, has weighed in about the course of the race....
View ArticleGround-Game Reports: Ohio, D.C.
This is part of the Continuing Festival of Election Eve updates, all day long.Over the weekend, I posted some reader reports on ground-game trends in Missouri, Virginia, and D.C. These updates,...
View ArticleWhat If the GOP Loses? 'Atlas Shrugged' vs. 'The Fire Next Time'
This is part of the one-day-only, all-day-long Festival of Election Eve Updates. Two days ago I posted speculations from several readers about what would happen inside the Republican Party if, two days...
View ArticleNo Love for the 'Atlas Shrugged' Guy
Many readers are getting in the spirit of the one-time-only day-long Festival of Election Eve Updates. Here are responses to the previous item, in which the founder of one small high-tech business...
View ArticlePlaceholder in the Election Eve Festival of Posts™
A bunch more in the pipeline. But I am in the middle of an hour-long interview with someone for ... an actual article! What I think is an interesting post, about the distorting effect that "prediction"...
View ArticleAccountability Watch: Who Is Predicting What
A fascinating interview this afternoon ran much, much longer than expected, which is a good thing. But if I am to get back to the pace of the one-day-only, all-day Festival of Election Eve™ updates, I...
View ArticleBut What If Obama Loses the Popular Vote?
As another thought experiment for our one-day-only, day-long Festival of Election Eve Dispatches™, here is a proposal for what Barack Obama should say tomorrow night if the Electoral College...
View ArticleThe Atlas Shrugged Guy Pushes Back!
Earlier in today's Festival™ I quoted a self-reported small business owner who said that if Obama is re-elected, as now seems likely, the businessman will live out the reality of Ayn Rand's Atlas...
View ArticleOn Fair Portrayals of the Evangelical Point of View
Some of the palaver in the run-up to today's one-day-only, nearing-its-end Festival of Election Eve Dispatches™ concerned the hiving-off of America into separate information and fact spheres. Some...
View Article'The Party of Romney Is the Party of George W. Bush'
We're nearing the end of our One Day Only, All-Day Election Eve Festival of Posts™. We started many hours earlier with the last pre-election installment of Ask Dr. Popkin. We near the conclusion --...
View ArticleAnd If the GOP Doesn't Win, Cont.
Many reader messages await on how the Republican party would react to the apparently imminent defeat of Mitt Romney -- that is, the failure to beat a marginally popular incumbent during economic hard...
View ArticleDixville Notch Has Cast Its Vote ...
... which means that the One Day Only, All-Day Festival of Election Eve Posts™ is at its end. With a zillion reader reflections on the future of the GOP still lying there in the inbox.Only one way to...
View ArticleThe 'Atlas Shrugged' Guy Has His Full Say
I open the electronic mailbag to find 150 or so reader replies about the 'Atlas Shrugged' guy, who plans to close his business and eliminate its "$500k total payroll" if Obama wins today. First Atlas...
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